El Gounah 3-1 National Bank of Egypt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - League Cup, 10 Jan 2024

📅10/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.84
Draw
18%
3.18
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
No
66%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
32%
+12.5pp
18%
Draw
28%
-9.5pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Gounah EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
263 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Gounah
1W-3D-1L
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.89 xG 1.26
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
251 Passes 261
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-3 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
01.08.2022 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-1 HT 0-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
01.03.2022 El Gounah El Gounah 1-2 HT 1-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
08.08.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 1-1 HT 0-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
06.02.2021 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-1 HT 1-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Gounah
3-1
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH El Gounah vs National Bank of Egypt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Gounah saw off National Bank of Egypt 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had El Gounah as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, El Gounah had 42% of the ball to National Bank of Egypt's 58%, shots finished 14-19.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for El Gounah and 1.40 for National Bank of Egypt.

What was the final score of El Gounah vs National Bank of Egypt?

El Gounah 3-1 National Bank of Egypt in the Egypt - League Cup on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Gounah vs National Bank of Egypt?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Gounah win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 44%, draw 18%, National Bank of Egypt 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Gounah) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (El Gounah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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