Al Orubah 2-2 Al Faisaly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 10 Jan 2024

📅10/01/2024 · 🕒15:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Orubah EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.98/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.74
-11% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -40%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Orubah
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Faisaly
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
214 Passes 299
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
01.03.2023 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD1
05.10.2022 Al Orubah Al Orubah 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
06.03.2015 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD
17.09.2014 Al Orubah Al Orubah 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD
10.01.2014 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Orubah
2-2
AWAY Al Faisaly
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Orubah vs Al Faisaly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Orubah and Al Faisaly shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Orubah had 41% of the ball to Al Faisaly's 59%, shots finished 14-15.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Faisaly led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Al Orubah and 1.20 for Al Faisaly.

What was the final score of Al Orubah vs Al Faisaly?

Al Orubah 2-2 Al Faisaly in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Orubah vs Al Faisaly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Faisaly win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Orubah 34%, draw 26%, Al Faisaly 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Faisaly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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