Sevilla II 1-0 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 10 Jan 2025

📅10/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.58/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.20
+26% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla II
1-0
AWAY Merida AD
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sevilla II vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla II squeezed past Merida AD 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sevilla II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Sevilla II had 40% of the ball to Merida AD's 60%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of Sevilla II vs Merida AD?

Sevilla II 1-0 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla II vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sevilla II 43%, draw 29%, Merida AD 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sevilla II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sevilla II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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