Shire Endaselassie 1-2 Mekelakeya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 10 Jan 2025

📅10/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
44%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.6
Over 2.5
34%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
33%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+5.5pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.0pp
44%
Away Win
56%
-11.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shire Endaselassie EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 60%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.29
-100% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -46%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
250 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shire Endaselassie
1-2
AWAY Mekelakeya
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shire Endaselassie vs Mekelakeya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelakeya squeezed past Shire Endaselassie 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mekelakeya as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shire Endaselassie had 39% of the ball to Mekelakeya's 61%, shots finished 5-13.

What was the final score of Shire Endaselassie vs Mekelakeya?

Shire Endaselassie 1-2 Mekelakeya in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shire Endaselassie vs Mekelakeya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Shire Endaselassie 24%, draw 31%, Mekelakeya 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mekelakeya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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