Pontypridd Town AFC 0-2 Newport City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 10 Jan 2025

📅10/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.86
Over 2.5
60%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
50%
-9.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
50%
+9.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.1pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport City EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.11/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.87
+4% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
314 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Newport City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
27.09.2024 Newport City Newport City 0-1 HT 0-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Pontypridd Town AFC vs Newport City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newport City got the better of Pontypridd Town AFC 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pontypridd Town AFC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Pontypridd Town AFC vs Newport City?

Pontypridd Town AFC 0-2 Newport City in the Wales - FAW Championship on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontypridd Town AFC vs Newport City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pontypridd Town AFC 47%, draw 26%, Newport City 26%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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