Al Safa 3-2 Al Jabalain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 10 Jan 2025

📅10/01/2025 · 🕒17:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+5.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.0pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Safa EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jabalain EU Bookmakers 51%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.34/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.93
+21% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
251 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Safa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Jabalain
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2023 Al Jabalain Al Jabalain 4-1 HT 1-1 Al Safa Al Safa SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Safa
3-2
AWAY Al Jabalain
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Safa vs Al Jabalain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Safa squeezed past Al Jabalain 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Jabalain at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Safa had 45% of the ball to Al Jabalain's 55%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Al Safa vs Al Jabalain?

Al Safa 3-2 Al Jabalain in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Safa vs Al Jabalain?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Jabalain win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Safa 30%, draw 28%, Al Jabalain 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Jabalain) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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