AAli FC 1-1 Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒16:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
7.18
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
61%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.91
Over 2.5
40%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.28
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
51%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
3.35
6+ Goals
8%
12.7
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.76 — our 51% vs market 48.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
12%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.2pp
61%
Away Win
68%
-6.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AAli FC EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Muharraq EU Bookmakers 71%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.01/2.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/0.57
+31% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +52%
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
199 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 482 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AAli FC
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Muharraq
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2025 AAli FC AAli FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
14.02.2025 Muharraq Muharraq 4-0 HT 2-0 AAli FC AAli FC BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AAli FC
1-1
AWAY Muharraq
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AAli FC vs Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AAli FC and Muharraq shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Muharraq carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, AAli FC had 49% of the ball to Muharraq's 51%, shots finished 11-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Muharraq led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for AAli FC and 3.00 for Muharraq.

What was the final score of AAli FC vs Muharraq?

AAli FC 1-1 Muharraq in the Bahrain - Premier League on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AAli FC vs Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split AAli FC 13%, draw 26%, Muharraq 61%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Muharraq), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Muharraq) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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