Al Gharraf 0-1 Newroz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
35%
Draw
32%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Gharraf EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Newroz EU Bookmakers 29%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.12
-13% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Gharraf vs Newroz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newroz squeezed past Al Gharraf 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 35% / 25% — and on the day Newroz made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Gharraf vs Newroz?

Al Gharraf 0-1 Newroz in the Iraq - Premier League on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Gharraf vs Newroz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Gharraf win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Gharraf 40%, draw 35%, Newroz 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Gharraf) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Gharraf) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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