Dungannon Swifts 3-0 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
68%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
12%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.33
Over
62%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.62
2-3
48%
1.9
4-5
23%
2.71
6+
11%
7.18
Value flag · 2-3 at 1.9 — our 48% vs market 44.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
16%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC The Market 16%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
5.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.56
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +79%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Ards FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
08.10.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRLK
07.01.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-1 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRK
07.10.2014 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-0 HT 2-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRLK
REVIEW Dungannon Swifts vs Ards FC
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Dungannon Swifts overpowered Ards FC 3-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Dungannon Swifts as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (62%) came in, both teams to score (57%) didn't.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 0.67 for Ards FC.

Dungannon Swifts vs Ards FC Result & Final Score

Dungannon Swifts 3-0 Ards FC in the North Ireland - Cup on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Dungannon Swifts vs Ards FC Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 68%, draw 20%, Ards FC 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dungannon Swifts), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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