APS Bomet 1-1 TransMara Sugar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 10 Jan 2026

APS Bomet
1-1 HT 0-1
TransMara Sugar
📅10/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2025/2026

APS Bomet vs TransMara Sugar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.53
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.6pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.7pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

APS Bomet v TransMara Sugar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APS Bomet EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 37%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.40/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.14
-55% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.9

APS Bomet 1-1 TransMara Sugar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME APS Bomet
1-1
AWAY TransMara Sugar
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH APS Bomet vs TransMara Sugar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APS Bomet and TransMara Sugar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, APS Bomet had 60% of the ball to TransMara Sugar's 40%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of APS Bomet vs TransMara Sugar?

APS Bomet 1-1 TransMara Sugar in the Kenya - Premier League on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APS Bomet vs TransMara Sugar?

Before kick-off our model rated a APS Bomet win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split APS Bomet 35%, draw 32%, TransMara Sugar 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (APS Bomet), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (APS Bomet) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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