Hamilton 2-3 Annan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.25
Draw
24%
5.28
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.67
6+ Goals
12%
6.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
76%
-16.4pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.9pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.9pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.54/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/3.51
+12% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -37%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Annan Athletic
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
28.11.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-2 HT 1-2 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
29.09.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 5-0 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
06.10.2020 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 3-1 HT 3-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKLK
14.07.2018 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKLK
09.01.2016 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 4-1 HT 1-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKK
04.08.2012 Hamilton Hamilton 2-0 HT 0-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İKLK
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Annan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annan Athletic squeezed past Hamilton 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hamilton at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hamilton and 1.50 for Annan Athletic.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Annan Athletic?

Hamilton 2-3 Annan Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Annan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 59%, draw 24%, Annan Athletic 17%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Hamilton), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamilton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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