Inverness CT 1-3 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.81
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
22.45
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
9%
9.15
X/2
11%
4.08
X/X
10%
5.16
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
27%
2.2
2/X
10%
13.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.45 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 57%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.78/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.20
+32% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inverness CT
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hibernian
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
28.02.2020 Hibernian Hibernian 5-2 HT 1-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKK
16.03.2016 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-2 HT 0-2 Hibernian Hibernian İKK
06.03.2016 Hibernian Hibernian 1-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKK
12.03.2014 Inverness CT Inverness CT 0-0 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
09.11.2013 Hibernian Hibernian 0-2 HT 0-2 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKP
28.09.2013 Inverness CT Inverness CT 3-0 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inverness CT
1-3
AWAY Hibernian
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Inverness CT vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian beat Inverness CT 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hibernian as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Inverness CT had 47% of the ball to Hibernian's 53%, shots finished 8-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Inverness CT and 1.33 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of Inverness CT vs Hibernian?

Inverness CT 1-3 Hibernian in the Scotland - Cup on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inverness CT vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Inverness CT 27%, draw 26%, Hibernian 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernian), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hibernian) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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