Gimnastic Tarragona 2-1 Real Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.42
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.82
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Union EU Bookmakers 24%
+15% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.31/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/3.46
+14% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
409 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses 9.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Union
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Real Union Real Union 1-1 HT 0-1 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
30.04.2023 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Union Real Union İS3
27.11.2022 Real Union Real Union 2-3 HT 0-2 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
03.05.2010 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Union Real Union İS2
28.11.2009 Real Union Real Union 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
2-1
AWAY Real Union
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimnastic Tarragona vs Real Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona squeezed past Real Union 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimnastic Tarragona as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimnastic Tarragona had 33% of the ball to Real Union's 67%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Real Union led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gimnastic Tarragona and 1.40 for Real Union.

What was the final score of Gimnastic Tarragona vs Real Union?

Gimnastic Tarragona 2-1 Real Union in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastic Tarragona vs Real Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gimnastic Tarragona 50%, draw 28%, Real Union 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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