Aarau 5-2 Stade Nyonnais — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.39
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarau EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.12/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.08
-11% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
16.9 Crosses 20.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarau
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.96 xG 1.73
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 10
294 Passes 238
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 4-0 HT 1-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
01.09.2023 Aarau Aarau 0-2 HT 0-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarau
5-2
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
2.67 xG 1.56
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 11
233 Passes 289
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 33
9 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarau cruised past Stade Nyonnais 5-2. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aarau as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Aarau had 45% of the ball to Stade Nyonnais's 55%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 2.67 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stade Nyonnais led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Aarau and 3.00 for Stade Nyonnais.

What was the final score of Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?

Aarau 5-2 Stade Nyonnais in the Switzerland Challenge League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aarau 48%, draw 27%, Stade Nyonnais 26%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aarau) ✓ BTTS Yes
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