Napoli (K) 0-1 Roma (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
16%
3.28
Away
33%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.98
Over 2.5
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.0pp
16%
Draw
28%
-11.5pp
33%
Away Win
18%
+14.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Roma (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
28% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 26
5 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 15
16.01.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli (K)
0-1
AWAY Roma (K)
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Napoli (K) vs Roma (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) nicked a narrow win over Napoli (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Napoli (K) at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Napoli (K) had 37% of the ball to Roma (K)'s 63%, shots finished 13-18.

What was the final score of Napoli (K) vs Roma (K)?

Napoli (K) 0-1 Roma (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli (K) vs Roma (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Napoli (K) 51%, draw 16%, Roma (K) 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Napoli (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Napoli (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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