Sassuolo (K) 1-0 AC Milan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 10 Feb 2024

Sassuolo (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
AC Milan (K)
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Italya - Women's Serie A – 2023/2024

Sassuolo (K) vs AC Milan (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.67
Over 2.5
54%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+9.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-8.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
56%
-9.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
44%
+9.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sassuolo (K) v AC Milan (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Sassuolo (K) vs AC Milan (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AC Milan (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
18.01.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 0-3 HT 0-2 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKK

Sassuolo (K) 1-0 AC Milan (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo (K)
1-0
AWAY AC Milan (K)
1.18 xG 0.77
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
253 Passes 203
62% Pass Accuracy 60%
11 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sassuolo (K) vs AC Milan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo (K) edged past AC Milan (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Sassuolo (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sassuolo (K) had 53% of the ball to AC Milan (K)'s 47%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.18 to 0.77.

What was the final score of Sassuolo (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Sassuolo (K) 1-0 AC Milan (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an AC Milan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo (K) 36%, draw 26%, AC Milan (K) 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (AC Milan (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AC Milan (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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