Valencia (K) 0-1 Villarreal (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
48%
-14.7pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.8pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
Crosses 21.0
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia (K)
0-1
AWAY Villarreal (K)
1.55 xG 0.45
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
345 Passes 211
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valencia (K) vs Villarreal (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal (K) nicked a narrow win over Valencia (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Villarreal (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Valencia (K) had 60% of the ball to Villarreal (K)'s 40%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 1.55 to 0.45 — on chances, Valencia (K) could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Valencia (K) vs Villarreal (K)?

Valencia (K) 0-1 Villarreal (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia (K) vs Villarreal (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Valencia (K) 33%, draw 33%, Villarreal (K) 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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