Hoffenheim (K) 1-1 Werder Bremen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 10 Feb 2024

Hoffenheim (K)
1-1 HT 1-1
Werder Bremen (K)
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Hoffenheim (K) vs Werder Bremen (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.2pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hoffenheim (K) v Werder Bremen (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Hoffenheim (K) 1-1 Werder Bremen (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
1-1
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
1.49 xG 0.74
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
280 Passes 211
72% Pass Accuracy 63%
17 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim (K) and Werder Bremen (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Hoffenheim (K) at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hoffenheim (K) had 53% of the ball to Werder Bremen (K)'s 47%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.49 to 0.74.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Hoffenheim (K) 1-1 Werder Bremen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim (K) 54%, draw 26%, Werder Bremen (K) 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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