Almagro vs Deportivo Moron Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almagro v Deportivo Moron — Team-Based Signals
Almagro vs Deportivo Moron Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Deportivo Moron
ARJPBN
0-1
HT 0-1
Almagro
ARJPBN
3-0
HT 2-0
Almagro
ARJPBN
1-0
HT 1-0
Almagro
ARJPBN
2-1
HT 0-0
Deportivo Moron
ARJPBN
1-1
HT 0-0
Almagro
ARJPBM
Almagro 2-1 Deportivo Moron — Actual Match Statistics
Almagro squeezed past Deportivo Moron 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Almagro as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Almagro had 52% of the ball to Deportivo Moron's 48%, shots finished 5-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Moron led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Almagro and 1.17 for Deportivo Moron.
What was the final score of Almagro vs Deportivo Moron?
Almagro 2-1 Deportivo Moron in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almagro vs Deportivo Moron?
Before kick-off our model rated a Almagro win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Almagro 42%, draw 26%, Deportivo Moron 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almagro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.