10/02/2024
·
23:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Yupanqui vs Barracas Bolivar Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
33%
4-5
28%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Yupanqui win — 64% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
64%
Home Win
74%
20%
Draw
16%
16%
Away Win
10%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Yupanqui v Barracas Bolivar — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Yupanqui
The Market 79%
Head to Head
AWAY
Barracas Bolivar
The Market 12%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
60%
Ball Possession
40%
19
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
2
435 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
269 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Yupanqui vs Barracas Bolivar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Yupanqui edged past Barracas Bolivar 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yupanqui as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Yupanqui vs Barracas Bolivar?
Yupanqui 1-0 Barracas Bolivar in the Argentina - Primera C Apertura on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Yupanqui vs Barracas Bolivar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Yupanqui win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Yupanqui 64%, draw 20%, Barracas Bolivar 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yupanqui), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Yupanqui)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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ARJPC
More Argentina - Primera C Apertura
10 Feb 2024