Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-1 Melbourne Victory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
35%
3.54
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-2.6pp
35%
Draw
25%
+10.4pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-7.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.5pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
1.12/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.82
-29% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
283 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
20.0 Crosses 11.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
1-1
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
1.70 xG 1.13
45% Ball Possession 55%
21 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
260 Passes 355
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners (K) and Melbourne Victory (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 35% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners (K) had 45% of the ball to Melbourne Victory (K)'s 55%, shots finished 21-18, expected goals 1.70 to 1.13.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-1 Melbourne Victory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners (K) 32%, draw 35%, Melbourne Victory (K) 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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