Austria Wien 3-1 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 10 Feb 2024

Austria Wien
3-1 HT 1-1
Hartberg
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Austria Wien vs Hartberg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.82
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
18%
4.54
X/2
11%
6.69
X/X
14%
4.8
2/1
6%
24.6
2/2
12%
4.83
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Austria Wien v Hartberg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.67/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.56
+18% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 72%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
18.9 Crosses 17.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Austria Wien vs Hartberg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Wien
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Hartberg
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.97 xG 1.43
52% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
326 Passes 290
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 2-1 HT 1-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
25.02.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 3-0 HT 1-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
11.09.2022 Hartberg Hartberg 0-3 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
19.02.2022 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-0 HT 1-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
26.09.2021 Hartberg Hartberg 3-4 HT 2-3 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
24.05.2021 Hartberg Hartberg 0-3 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU

Austria Wien 3-1 Hartberg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Wien
3-1
AWAY Hartberg
1.85 xG 2.15
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
324 Passes 340
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Austria Wien vs Hartberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien beat Hartberg 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Austria Wien as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Austria Wien had 49% of the ball to Hartberg's 51%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.85 to 2.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Austria Wien and 0.83 for Hartberg.

What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Hartberg?

Austria Wien 3-1 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 42%, draw 27%, Hartberg 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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