Excelsior Virton 1-0 Hoogstraten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1.Amatör League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.11
Draw
17%
7.78
Away
23%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
85%
-24.8pp
17%
Draw
10%
+7.8pp
22%
Away Win
5%
+17.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Virton EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoogstraten EU Bookmakers 8%
-89% / -89% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-100% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -57%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
418 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Virton
1-0
AWAY Hoogstraten
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Excelsior Virton vs Hoogstraten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Virton squeezed past Hoogstraten 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Excelsior Virton as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Excelsior Virton had 44% of the ball to Hoogstraten's 56%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of Excelsior Virton vs Hoogstraten?

Excelsior Virton 1-0 Hoogstraten in the Belgium - 1.Amatör League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Virton vs Hoogstraten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior Virton win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Virton 60%, draw 17%, Hoogstraten 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Excelsior Virton) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Excelsior Virton) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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