Waasland-Beveren 3-1 Lierse Kempenzonen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
27%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.42
2-3 Goals
35%
1.98
4-5 Goals
30%
2.63
6+ Goals
15%
6.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-15.4pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.0pp
27%
Away Win
15%
+12.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.3pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.83/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.62
+21% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
415 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
18.4 Crosses 19.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waasland-Beveren
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.84 xG 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
352 Passes 292
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-2 HT 1-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
07.05.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-3 HT 1-2 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
17.03.2023 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-0 HT 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
13.11.2022 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 1-5 HT 1-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
02.10.2022 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 5-0 HT 2-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
01.04.2022 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-0 HT 0-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waasland-Beveren
3-1
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
0.45 xG 1.42
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 12
375 Passes 319
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Waasland-Beveren vs Lierse Kempenzonen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren beat Lierse Kempenzonen 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Waasland-Beveren as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Waasland-Beveren had 51% of the ball to Lierse Kempenzonen's 49%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.45 to 1.42 — on chances, Lierse Kempenzonen could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waasland-Beveren had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Waasland-Beveren and 1.17 for Lierse Kempenzonen.

What was the final score of Waasland-Beveren vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Waasland-Beveren 3-1 Lierse Kempenzonen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waasland-Beveren vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Waasland-Beveren 51%, draw 22%, Lierse Kempenzonen 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waasland-Beveren), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
10 Feb 2024
22:00 SV Zulte Waregem vs Lommel United Analysis →
22:00 RSC Anderlecht II vs RFC Seraing Analysis →