Union Saint-Gilloise 2-2 Westerlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 10 Feb 2024

Union Saint-Gilloise
2-2 HT 1-1
Westerlo
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Westerlo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.33
Over 2.5
62%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.78
6+ Goals
15%
7.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.5
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
22.05
X/1
24%
3.42
X/2
5%
18.75
X/X
12%
7.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.05
2/2
8%
14.55
2/X
5%
22.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.05 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-11.4pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.2pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
39%
-1.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
61%
+1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.7pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Saint-Gilloise v Westerlo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Westerlo EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.97/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.29
-4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
406 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
20.7 Crosses 12.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Westerlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Westerlo
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.94 xG 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
398 Passes 332
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 1-3 HT 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
25.02.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 4-2 HT 2-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
06.11.2022 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-1 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
19.03.2021 Westerlo Westerlo 2-2 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL2
20.12.2020 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 1-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL2
31.10.2020 Westerlo Westerlo 1-4 HT 1-4 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL2

Union Saint-Gilloise 2-2 Westerlo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
2-2
AWAY Westerlo
1.95 xG 1.96
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
405 Passes 304
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Westerlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise and Westerlo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Union Saint-Gilloise at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 56% of the ball to Westerlo's 44%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.95 to 1.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 1.67 for Westerlo.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Westerlo?

Union Saint-Gilloise 2-2 Westerlo in the Belgium - Pro League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Westerlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 60%, draw 22%, Westerlo 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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