Rio Branco-VN 1-1 Real Noroeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Capixaba, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
40%
4-5
17%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Branco-VN The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Noroeste The Market 25%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.00/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.95
+16% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +96%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Branco-VN
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Real Noroeste
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.02.2022 Rio Branco-VN Rio Branco-VN 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Noroeste Real Noroeste BRCAP
23.05.2021 Rio Branco-VN Rio Branco-VN 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Noroeste Real Noroeste BRCAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Branco-VN
1-1
AWAY Real Noroeste
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Rio Branco-VN vs Real Noroeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Branco-VN and Real Noroeste couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rio Branco-VN at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Rio Branco-VN had 56% of the ball to Real Noroeste's 44%, shots finished 18-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rio Branco-VN and 1.00 for Real Noroeste.

What was the final score of Rio Branco-VN vs Real Noroeste?

Rio Branco-VN 1-1 Real Noroeste in the Brazil - Capixaba on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Branco-VN vs Real Noroeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Branco-VN win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rio Branco-VN 45%, draw 31%, Real Noroeste 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rio Branco-VN), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rio Branco-VN) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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