Chapecoense vs Joinville Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chapecoense v Joinville — Team-Based Signals
Chapecoense vs Joinville Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Chapecoense
BRCAT1
2-1
HT 0-0
Chapecoense
BRCAT1
0-3
HT 0-1
Chapecoense
BRCAT1
0-0
HT 0-0
Chapecoense
BR1
2-0
HT 2-0
Joinville
BR1
2-1
HT 0-0
Joinville
BR2
Chapecoense 2-3 Joinville — Actual Match Statistics
Joinville nicked a narrow win over Chapecoense 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Joinville made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chapecoense had 51% of the ball to Joinville's 49%, shots finished 14-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chapecoense had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chapecoense and 0.67 for Joinville.
What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Joinville?
Chapecoense 2-3 Joinville in the Brazil - Catarinense 1 on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Joinville?
Before kick-off our model rated an Joinville win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 35%, draw 29%, Joinville 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Joinville) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.