Goias 4-1 Jataiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Goiano 1, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.25
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
33%
4-5
32%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Goias win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
60%
Home Win
76%
-15.9pp
20%
Draw
15%
+5.2pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias The Market 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Jataiense The Market 12%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.05/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.30
+16% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -26%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
498 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 4.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Jataiense
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 5
20.02.2022 Jataiense Jataiense 0-3 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BRGO1
04.02.2022 Goias Goias 3-1 HT 1-1 Jataiense Jataiense BRGO1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
4-1
AWAY Jataiense
63% Ball Possession 37%
23 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Goias vs Jataiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias ran out comfortable winners over Jataiense 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Goias as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Goias had 63% of the ball to Jataiense's 37%, shots finished 23-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Goias had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Goias and 0.50 for Jataiense.

What was the final score of Goias vs Jataiense?

Goias 4-1 Jataiense in the Brazil - Goiano 1 on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs Jataiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Goias 60%, draw 20%, Jataiense 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goias), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Goias) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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