Ferroviaria 1-0 Rio Claro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A2, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
31%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
33%
4-5
30%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
33%
+6.4pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.8pp
31%
Away Win
43%
-12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferroviaria The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Claro The Market 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferroviaria
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Rio Claro
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
11.02.2016 Ferroviaria Ferroviaria 3-1 HT 1-1 Rio Claro Rio Claro BREPAU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferroviaria
1-0
AWAY Rio Claro
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Ferroviaria vs Rio Claro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferroviaria nicked a narrow win over Rio Claro 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Ferroviaria found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ferroviaria had 50% of the ball to Rio Claro's 50%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Ferroviaria vs Rio Claro?

Ferroviaria 1-0 Rio Claro in the Brazil - Paulista A2 on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferroviaria vs Rio Claro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferroviaria win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ferroviaria 39%, draw 30%, Rio Claro 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferroviaria), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ferroviaria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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