Ludogorets Razgrad 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Super Cup, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.43
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-7.0pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.2pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+9.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
1W-1D-0L
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.05.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-2 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
24.05.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-3 HT 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BULK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
1-1
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad and CSKA 1948 Sofia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Ludogorets Razgrad carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 63% of the ball to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 37%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 1.50 for CSKA 1948 Sofia.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Ludogorets Razgrad 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - Super Cup on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 58%, draw 18%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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