Olympic Safi 2-1 Moghreb Tetouan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
6.29
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympic Safi EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.28/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.19
-4% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympic Safi
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi FAS
04.05.2023 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 2-1 HT 1-1 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi FAS
04.01.2023 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi 1-1 HT 1-1 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
19.06.2021 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi 0-0 HT 0-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
20.02.2021 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 1-3 HT 1-1 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi FAS
12.08.2020 Olympic Safi Olympic Safi 0-0 HT 0-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympic Safi
2-1
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Olympic Safi vs Moghreb Tetouan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympic Safi nicked a narrow win over Moghreb Tetouan 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Olympic Safi as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olympic Safi had 49% of the ball to Moghreb Tetouan's 51%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Olympic Safi and 0.67 for Moghreb Tetouan.

What was the final score of Olympic Safi vs Moghreb Tetouan?

Olympic Safi 2-1 Moghreb Tetouan in the Morocco - League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympic Safi vs Moghreb Tetouan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympic Safi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Olympic Safi 44%, draw 30%, Moghreb Tetouan 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympic Safi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olympic Safi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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