Saint-Étienne (K) 2-0 Dijon (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+2.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-14% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -66%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
Crosses 18.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
2-0
AWAY Dijon (K)
3.94 xG 0.19
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
245 Passes 254
71% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Saint-Étienne (K) vs Dijon (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Étienne (K) got the better of Dijon (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Saint-Étienne (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Saint-Étienne (K) had 49% of the ball to Dijon (K)'s 51%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 3.94 to 0.19.

What was the final score of Saint-Étienne (K) vs Dijon (K)?

Saint-Étienne (K) 2-0 Dijon (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Étienne (K) vs Dijon (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saint-Étienne (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Saint-Étienne (K) 47%, draw 27%, Dijon (K) 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint-Étienne (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saint-Étienne (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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