Fontenay 1-0 St-Philbert Gd Lieu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over Pick
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
38%
4-5
18%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.3pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.2pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fontenay The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY St-Philbert Gd Lieu The Market 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Fontenay vs St-Philbert Gd Lieu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fontenay squeezed past St-Philbert Gd Lieu 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was St-Philbert Gd Lieu at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Fontenay vs St-Philbert Gd Lieu?

Fontenay 1-0 St-Philbert Gd Lieu in the France - National League 3 on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fontenay vs St-Philbert Gd Lieu?

Before kick-off our model rated an St-Philbert Gd Lieu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fontenay 35%, draw 24%, St-Philbert Gd Lieu 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St-Philbert Gd Lieu) ✗ Over 2.5
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