Cambuur 3-3 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 10 Feb 2024

Cambuur
3-3 HT 2-2
VVV-Venlo
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Cambuur vs VVV-Venlo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.67
6+ Goals
10%
6.67
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.22 — our 27% vs market 14.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.11
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
15%
4.29
X/2
9%
9.49
X/X
12%
6.09
2/1
11%
19.9
2/2
12%
6.29
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.6pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cambuur v VVV-Venlo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +26%
1.94/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.84
-3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
397 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 68%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
23.9 Crosses 15.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Cambuur vs VVV-Venlo Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
1W-1D-3L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.33 xG 0.84
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
325 Passes 384
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 19
7 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.11.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-2 HT 0-2 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
13.01.2017 Cambuur Cambuur 0-2 HT 0-2 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
05.08.2016 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-1 HT 1-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
13.05.2012 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 4-3 HT 2-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
10.05.2012 Cambuur Cambuur 0-0 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2

Cambuur 3-3 VVV-Venlo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
3-3
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.60 xG 1.55
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 0
341 Passes 196
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cambuur vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur and VVV-Venlo shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cambuur at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cambuur had 60% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 40%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.60 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Cambuur and 1.80 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs VVV-Venlo?

Cambuur 3-3 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 47%, draw 26%, VVV-Venlo 27%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cambuur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambuur) ✓ BTTS Yes
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