Excelsior Maassluis 0-3 Koninklijke HFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
34%
-8.0pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.3pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.8pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Koninklijke HFC EU Bookmakers 46%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
0-3
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
47% Ball Possession 53%
1 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs Koninklijke HFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koninklijke HFC cruised past Excelsior Maassluis 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Koninklijke HFC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 47% of the ball to Koninklijke HFC's 53%, shots finished 1-12.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs Koninklijke HFC?

Excelsior Maassluis 0-3 Koninklijke HFC in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs Koninklijke HFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Koninklijke HFC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 26%, draw 30%, Koninklijke HFC 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Koninklijke HFC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Koninklijke HFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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