10/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Duhok vs Al-Qasim Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
34%
40%
Draw
30%
33%
Away Win
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Duhok v Al-Qasim — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Duhok
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al-Qasim
EU Bookmakers 40%
-46% /
-46%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+5% /
+5%
1.00/3.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/0.00
-1%
/
-67%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
13
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
350 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
396 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Duhok vs Al-Qasim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Duhok squeezed past Al-Qasim 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 40% / 33% — and on the day Duhok made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%) came in.
What was the final score of Duhok vs Al-Qasim?
Duhok 1-0 Al-Qasim in the Iraq - Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Duhok vs Al-Qasim?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Duhok 26%, draw 40%, Al-Qasim 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Draw)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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IRAK
More Iraq - Premier League
10 Feb 2024