Dundela 5-1 Dergview FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.29
Over 2.5
64%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
2.81
6+ Goals
12%
7.82
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.81 — our 31% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
14%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-7.8pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.4pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
40%
-4.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
60%
+4.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.9pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundela EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Dergview FC EU Bookmakers 18%
-17% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +7%
2.28/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.02
+8% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundela
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Dergview FC
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2023 Dundela Dundela 3-2 HT 1-1 Dergview FC Dergview FC KİRL1
02.09.2023 Dergview FC Dergview FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
04.02.2023 Dundela Dundela 1-1 HT 1-0 Dergview FC Dergview FC KİRL1
08.10.2022 Dergview FC Dergview FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
01.01.2022 Dundela Dundela 2-2 HT 1-2 Dergview FC Dergview FC KİRL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundela
5-1
AWAY Dergview FC
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dundela vs Dergview FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundela cruised past Dergview FC 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dundela as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Dundela had 61% of the ball to Dergview FC's 39%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dundela had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Dundela and 1.00 for Dergview FC.

What was the final score of Dundela vs Dergview FC?

Dundela 5-1 Dergview FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundela vs Dergview FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundela win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Dundela 57%, draw 20%, Dergview FC 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundela), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dundela) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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