Glenavon FC 2-2 Linfield FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.87
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.92
1/2
9%
21.6
1/X
7%
16.4
X/1
9%
10.4
X/2
20%
3.77
X/X
11%
5.76
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
21%
1.97
2/X
7%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+6.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
50%
Away Win
59%
-8.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 62%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.29/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/0.71
+18% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +34%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
177 · 61% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Linfield FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
15.08.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 4-2 HT 1-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
14.01.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-6 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
12.11.2022 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
18.10.2022 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-2 HT 1-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
22.01.2022 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Glenavon FC
2-2
AWAY Linfield FC
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Linfield FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC and Linfield FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Linfield FC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Glenavon FC had 47% of the ball to Linfield FC's 53%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Glenavon FC and 3.17 for Linfield FC.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Linfield FC?

Glenavon FC 2-2 Linfield FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Linfield FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 25%, draw 25%, Linfield FC 50%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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