Paphos FC 4-3 Ethnikos Achna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Cyprus Rum Kesimi - 1st Division, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
41%
4-5
21%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
34%
+10.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
41%
-11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paphos FC The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethnikos Achna The Market 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paphos FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ethnikos Achna
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
11.11.2023 Ethnikos Achna Ethnikos Achna 1-4 HT 1-2 Paphos FC Paphos FC KRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paphos FC
4-3
AWAY Ethnikos Achna
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Paphos FC vs Ethnikos Achna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paphos FC nicked a narrow win over Ethnikos Achna 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paphos FC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paphos FC had 62% of the ball to Ethnikos Achna's 38%, shots finished 18-8.

What was the final score of Paphos FC vs Ethnikos Achna?

Paphos FC 4-3 Ethnikos Achna in the Cyprus Rum Kesimi - 1st Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paphos FC vs Ethnikos Achna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paphos FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Paphos FC 44%, draw 26%, Ethnikos Achna 30%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paphos FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paphos FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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