10/02/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-2
Melita vs Senglea Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
26%
Draw
27%
45%
Away Win
48%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melita v Senglea Athletic — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Melita
EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Senglea Athletic
EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
11
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
4
297 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
376 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Melita vs Senglea Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Melita nicked a narrow win over Senglea Athletic 2-1.
Our pre-match lean was Senglea Athletic at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Melita vs Senglea Athletic?
Melita 2-1 Senglea Athletic in the Malta - 1st Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melita vs Senglea Athletic?
Before kick-off our model rated an Senglea Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Melita 29%, draw 26%, Senglea Athletic 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Senglea Athletic) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Senglea Athletic)
✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
MLT1
More Malta - 1st Division
10 Feb 2024