Fiorentino 3-1 Virtus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — San Marino - Şampiyona, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.91
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
55%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over Pick
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
35%
4-5
28%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
29%
Home Win
14%
+14.8pp
16%
Draw
19%
-2.3pp
55%
Away Win
67%
-12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentino The Market 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus The Market 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Fiorentino vs Virtus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentino saw off Virtus 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Virtus at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Fiorentino vs Virtus?

Fiorentino 3-1 Virtus in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentino vs Virtus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Virtus win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Fiorentino 29%, draw 16%, Virtus 55%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Virtus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Virtus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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