10/02/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Murata vs La Fiorita Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No Pick
52%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
39%
4-5
24%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
21%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
30%
Home Win
37%
30%
Draw
30%
40%
Away Win
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Murata v La Fiorita — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Murata
The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
La Fiorita
The Market 37%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+45% /
+45%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+150%
/
+34%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
4
314 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
278 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Murata vs La Fiorita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
La Fiorita squeezed past Murata 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and on the day La Fiorita made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Murata vs La Fiorita?
Murata 1-2 La Fiorita in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Murata vs La Fiorita?
Before kick-off our model rated an La Fiorita win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Murata 30%, draw 30%, La Fiorita 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Fiorita) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (La Fiorita)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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SANM
More San Marino - Şampiyona
10 Feb 2024