Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-2 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-5.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.6pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 34%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.98/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.27
-28% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 71%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
21.2 Crosses 14.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Novi Pazar
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.36 xG 0.48
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
351 Passes 190
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2023 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 0-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRBK
27.08.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-0 HT 1-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
2-2
AWAY Novi Pazar
0.94 xG 1.99
32% Ball Possession 68%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
114 Passes 354
56% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zeleznicar Pancevo and Novi Pazar couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zeleznicar Pancevo had 32% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 68%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.94 to 1.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Zeleznicar Pancevo and 1.00 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Novi Pazar?

Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-2 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zeleznicar Pancevo 33%, draw 28%, Novi Pazar 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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