Zlate Moravce 0-2 Dukla Banska Bystrica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 10 Feb 2024

Zlate Moravce
0-2 HT 0-0
Dukla Banska Bystrica
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Slovakia Super League – 2023/2024

Zlate Moravce vs Dukla Banska Bystrica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 24% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zlate Moravce v Dukla Banska Bystrica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zlate Moravce EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Banska Bystrica EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
1.37/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.33
+11% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +106% / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
249 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 76%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.0
20.9 Crosses 11.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Zlate Moravce vs Dukla Banska Bystrica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zlate Moravce
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Dukla Banska Bystrica
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.39 xG 1.73
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
246 Passes 213
67% Pass Accuracy 65%
21 Box Touches 30
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 1-1 HT 0-1 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce SLVK
12.11.2022 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce 4-4 HT 0-1 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
27.08.2022 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 4-2 HT 1-1 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce SLVK
05.05.2015 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce 0-1 HT 0-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
15.08.2014 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce 1-1 HT 1-1 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
20.04.2014 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce 1-3 HT 0-1 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK

Zlate Moravce 0-2 Dukla Banska Bystrica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zlate Moravce
0-2
AWAY Dukla Banska Bystrica
1.15 xG 2.55
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
321 Passes 199
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 41
22 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zlate Moravce vs Dukla Banska Bystrica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dukla Banska Bystrica saw off Zlate Moravce 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dukla Banska Bystrica as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Zlate Moravce had 59% of the ball to Dukla Banska Bystrica's 41%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 1.15 to 2.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dukla Banska Bystrica led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zlate Moravce and 2.33 for Dukla Banska Bystrica.

What was the final score of Zlate Moravce vs Dukla Banska Bystrica?

Zlate Moravce 0-2 Dukla Banska Bystrica in the Slovakia Super League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zlate Moravce vs Dukla Banska Bystrica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dukla Banska Bystrica win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Zlate Moravce 30%, draw 28%, Dukla Banska Bystrica 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dukla Banska Bystrica) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dukla Banska Bystrica) ✗ Over 2.5
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