Panaitolikos 1-0 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.39
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.42
6+ Goals
12%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 27% vs market 23.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.07
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
15%
4.87
X/2
15%
6.32
X/X
12%
4.63
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
16%
4.42
2/X
9%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.05/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.27
-6% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
18.0 Crosses 14.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panaitolikos
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atromitos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.28 xG 1.02
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 Passes 372
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 3-2 HT 0-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
06.05.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 2-0 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
04.01.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
04.09.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 0-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
09.04.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 2-3 HT 2-2 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
18.12.2021 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 2-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panaitolikos
1-0
AWAY Atromitos
0.62 xG 1.51
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
187 Passes 473
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 49
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Panaitolikos vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panaitolikos squeezed past Atromitos 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Panaitolikos found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Panaitolikos had 32% of the ball to Atromitos's 68%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.62 to 1.51 — on chances, Atromitos could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atromitos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Panaitolikos and 1.67 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of Panaitolikos vs Atromitos?

Panaitolikos 1-0 Atromitos in the Greece - Super League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panaitolikos vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panaitolikos win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Panaitolikos 36%, draw 28%, Atromitos 36%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ BTTS Yes
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YUN More Greece - Super League
10 Feb 2024
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