Zira vs Neftçi PFK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zira v Neftçi PFK — Team-Based Signals
Zira vs Neftçi PFK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Zira
AZERS
2-0
HT 1-0
Neftçi PFK
AZERS
3-1
HT 1-1
Neftçi PFK
AZERS
1-0
HT 1-0
Zira
AZERS
1-0
HT 0-0
Zira
AZERS
1-1
HT 1-1
Neftçi PFK
AZERS
Neftçi PFK edged past Zira 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Zira at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neftçi PFK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zira and 1.00 for Neftçi PFK.
What was the final score of Zira vs Neftçi PFK?
Zira 1-2 Neftçi PFK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zira vs Neftçi PFK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Zira 50%, draw 29%, Neftçi PFK 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.