Newroz 2-0 Erbil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 10 Feb 2025

Newroz
2-0 HT 0-0
Erbil
📅10/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Newroz vs Erbil Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-9.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
26%
+11.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.9pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newroz v Erbil — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newroz EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbil EU Bookmakers 30%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+73% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
438 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Newroz vs Erbil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newroz beat Erbil 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Newroz made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Newroz vs Erbil?

Newroz 2-0 Erbil in the Iraq - Premier League on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newroz vs Erbil?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Newroz 38%, draw 25%, Erbil 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/25/38) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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