Kingston City 3-2 Melbourne Srbija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 10 Feb 2025

📅10/02/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
51%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.41
No
46%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
29%
-3.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
51%
Away Win
49%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
67%
-13.0pp
46%
BTTS No
33%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kingston City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Srbija EU Bookmakers 53%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
226 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Kingston City vs Melbourne Srbija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kingston City nicked a narrow win over Melbourne Srbija 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Melbourne Srbija at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Kingston City vs Melbourne Srbija?

Kingston City 3-2 Melbourne Srbija in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kingston City vs Melbourne Srbija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Srbija win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kingston City 25%, draw 24%, Melbourne Srbija 51%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melbourne Srbija) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Srbija) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NPL2 More Australia - Victoria NPL 2
10 Feb 2025
12:30 Bulleen Lions vs Western United II Analysis →