Paraguay U20 1-3 Brezilya U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sudamericano U20, 10 Feb 2025

Paraguay U20
1-3 HT 1-2
Brezilya U20
📅10/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Sudamericano U20 – 2025

Paraguay U20 vs Brezilya U20 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
57%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.76
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
16%
3.78
6+ Goals
7%
17.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 33% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
37%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+4.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
57%
Away Win
59%
-2.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paraguay U20 v Brezilya U20 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paraguay U20 EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Brezilya U20 EU Bookmakers 62%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.58/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.50/0.00
+57% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / –
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
242 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 82%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
10.4 Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards –

Paraguay U20 vs Brezilya U20 Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paraguay U20
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Brezilya U20
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.70 xG 1.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
317 Passes 324
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.02.2023 Paraguay U20 Paraguay U20 0-2 HT 0-1 Brezilya U20 Brezilya U20 SUD20
28.01.2023 Brezilya U20 Brezilya U20 2-1 HT 1-1 Paraguay U20 Paraguay U20 SUD20
29.01.2015 Paraguay U20 Paraguay U20 0-2 HT 0-0 Brezilya U20 Brezilya U20 SUD20

Paraguay U20 1-3 Brezilya U20 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paraguay U20
1-3
AWAY Brezilya U20
0.50 xG 1.52
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
297 Passes 223
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paraguay U20 vs Brezilya U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brezilya U20 beat Paraguay U20 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brezilya U20 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paraguay U20 had 59% of the ball to Brezilya U20's 41%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.50 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Brezilya U20 led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Paraguay U20 and 2.00 for Brezilya U20.

What was the final score of Paraguay U20 vs Brezilya U20?

Paraguay U20 1-3 Brezilya U20 in the Sudamericano U20 on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paraguay U20 vs Brezilya U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brezilya U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Paraguay U20 21%, draw 22%, Brezilya U20 57%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brezilya U20) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brezilya U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →