Al Najma 2-0 Al Safa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 10 Feb 2025

📅10/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.1pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Safa EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.20/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.43
-27% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Safa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2024 Al Safa Al Safa 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
20.12.2023 Al Safa Al Safa 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Al Safa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma got the better of Al Safa 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Najma as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Najma had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Najma and 0.50 for Al Safa.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Al Safa?

Al Najma 2-0 Al Safa in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 10/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Al Safa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 50%, draw 27%, Al Safa 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najma), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Najma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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